Category: 2026 Elections

Senate 2026, Take 1

With an obvious disclaimer of “it’s early and things will change”, I won’t bury the lede:  Yes, Democrats could win the Senate in 2026, but they will need some significant luck to do it. Here’s a map of the 13 Senate seats that I consider to be even remotely in-play in 2026.  The grey states…

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2026 Elections in Texas

In my previous post, I claimed that it was too early to do much analysis regarding the 2026 election.  I lied.  Well, kinda.  The primaries in Texas are just over and, while considerable dust still needs to settle, I think I have enough data to offer early thoughts on some of my own state’s races.…

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2026 Election Season

I’ve been surprised by the number of people who have asked me to weigh in on the 2026 election season.  Summarizing and paraphrasing, folks seem to be asking two basic questions: Do Democrats have a chance in Hell of winning, well, anything? What can a normal person do that might move the ball in the…

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Texas Redistricting

Texas currently has 38 seats in the U.S. House with 25 held by Republicans, 12 by Democrats, and one vacant seat.  (A replacement election for the heavily Democratic vacant seat has been slow-rolled by the Republican Governor.)  Even if we assign the vacant seat to Democrats, Republicans still hold 66% of the U.S. House seats…

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