Author: admin

Immunity

As I was reading multiple news summaries and opinion pieces related to the Supreme Court’s oral arguments on 4/25/2024 for “Trump v. United States”, I was mentally composing an expletive-filled rant to publish herein.  I was more than appalled by the Court’s insane take on Presidential immunity.  With considerable effort, I managed to table my…

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2024 Electoral College, Take 3

To complete my snapshot look at the 2024 elections, here’s my current and still-too-early take on the Presidential election. [No, you don’t need to point out that this isn’t really my third take on the topic. But go ahead and send the email if it makes you feel better.] My Electoral College projections don’t look…

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2024 Senate, Take 3

Things have changed a bit since I last weighed in on the Senate races in 2024.  Things will change again.  However, here’s my current snapshot: The above table is sorted by the likelihood that the seat will be held by a Democrat in 2024. I was frankly surprised that my current model turned out to as…

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2024 House, Take 3

While predictive analysis is fun, prescriptive analysis is more useful.  To that end, I again focused on identifying which races might be the most important to a Democratic effort to retake the House. As before, I first identified the House races that were even worthy of further analysis.  That pass eliminated those seats that are…

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Well-Informed vs. Sane

A good friend recently sent me this remarkably appropriate cartoon: Wanting to include proper attribution, I did a little research.  Turns out that this is the work of David Sipress and it’s not at all new.  In fact, the cartoon dates back to the Clinton administration and even Sipress doesn’t remember where it was originally…

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Polls and Other Lies

Democrats have been absolutely soiling themselves over a New York Times / Siena College poll released this past weekend. Granted that a front-page headline reading “Trump Leads Biden in 5 Key Battleground States” – in a newspaper that Democrats intrinsically trust – certainly provides a sufficient stimulus for an abrupt outbreak of explosive diarrhea. So…

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2023 Elections

We finally have a Speaker of the House.  Woo.  Rep. Mike Johnson (R-LA) will be an unmitigated disaster and a likely topic of future blog posts.  For the moment, though, I’m simply exhausted with all of the House drama and needed to switch my focus towards some state-level elections.  Even in this off year, there…

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A Speaker Proposal

I opined just yesterday that a bipartisan approach to electing a Speaker of the House could have been a path forward.  Given the continuing implosion of House Republicans, the idea might not be as far-fetched as I thought. First, a quick landscape summary: Republicans do hold a majority of seats in the U.S. House.  Republicans…

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Quick Takes

Now that the writers strike is over, I can finally start posting again!  No, I’m not a WGA member.  But, hey, I’m not above abusing their strike as a flimsy excuse for my own absence from this blog. In all seriousness, I’m relieved that all parties agreed upon an equitable deal, and I hope that…

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