Exactly 92 years ago today, an enterprising baker in Chillicothe, Missouri named Frank Bench sold the very first loaf of machine-cut bread using the brand new invention of one Otto F. Rohwedder.
Okay. So?
Well, after yesterday’s post recounting our H1 2020 version of the signs of the Apocalypse, I thought I might share some soft, measured optimism with respect to H2 2020.
As of today, …
- Democrats are polling ahead of Republicans in numerous contested House races. If the elections were held today, House Democrats would not only hold onto their majority, they might well expand it.
- Senate Democratic candidates are polling better than expected. Democrats have a lead over the margin of error in enough states to claim a one-seat Senate majority. Races in two additional states are currently polling even.
- Biden is polling above Trump in enough swing states to win the Presidency. If Biden carries every state in which he is now leading, he’d collect 333 Electoral votes – considerably more than the 270 he needs to win. More importantly, if Biden carries every state in which he now leads by more than 6 points, he’d collect 297 Electoral votes – still enough to win with a decent cushion.
I’ll expand on the above in subsequent posts – and will undoubtedly throw some pessimistic shade here and there. Hey. I am who I am.
For the moment, though, I’m quite content to simply bask in the possibility of a Democratic trifecta in November.
And wouldn’t that just be the best thing since sliced bread?