(Political Ramblings from a Little Left of Center)
Things have changed a bit since I last weighed in on the Senate races in 2024. Things will change again. However, here’s my current snapshot: The above table is sorted by the likelihood that the seat will be held by a Democrat in 2024. I was frankly surprised that my current model turned out to as…
While predictive analysis is fun, prescriptive analysis is more useful. To that end, I again focused on identifying which races might be the most important to a Democratic effort to retake the House. As before, I first identified the House races that were even worthy of further analysis. That pass eliminated those seats that are…
A good friend recently sent me this remarkably appropriate cartoon: Wanting to include proper attribution, I did a little research. Turns out that this is the work of David Sipress and it’s not at all new. In fact, the cartoon dates back to the Clinton administration and even Sipress doesn’t remember where it was originally…
Democrats have been absolutely soiling themselves over a New York Times / Siena College poll released this past weekend. Granted that a front-page headline reading “Trump Leads Biden in 5 Key Battleground States” – in a newspaper that Democrats intrinsically trust – certainly provides a sufficient stimulus for an abrupt outbreak of explosive diarrhea. So…
We finally have a Speaker of the House. Woo. Rep. Mike Johnson (R-LA) will be an unmitigated disaster and a likely topic of future blog posts. For the moment, though, I’m simply exhausted with all of the House drama and needed to switch my focus towards some state-level elections. Even in this off year, there…
What’s your function? Hooking up two parties and making ’em run right. … In the evenings, when I’m usually feeling wonky, I love to take a walk through the Mall and to a honky tonky, Where I often see an elephant and a donkey, And I wonder, as I walk by, just what they could…
I opined just yesterday that a bipartisan approach to electing a Speaker of the House could have been a path forward. Given the continuing implosion of House Republicans, the idea might not be as far-fetched as I thought. First, a quick landscape summary: Republicans do hold a majority of seats in the U.S. House. Republicans…
Now that the writers strike is over, I can finally start posting again! No, I’m not a WGA member. But, hey, I’m not above abusing their strike as a flimsy excuse for my own absence from this blog. In all seriousness, I’m relieved that all parties agreed upon an equitable deal, and I hope that…
The Orange Guy was indicted today by a federal grand jury on four felony counts of conspiracy and obstruction related to his attempts to overturn the 2020 election results. I’m getting on a plane in a few hours and don’t have the time to read the full indictment beforehand. Thus, I’ll take the 45-page indictment…
Unfortunately, I started this post quite a while back. Since February, Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-AL) has been single-handedly blocking all senior military promotions. The details of the “senatorial hold” that Tuberville is using aren’t all that important. Suffice it to say that the rules of the Senate give enormous power to every individual Senator –…