(Political Ramblings from a Little Left of Center)
I remain convinced that a Presidential ticket led by Kamala Harris gives Democrats a chance to retain the White House and moves the House/Senate landscapes in Democrats’ direction. I do, however, feel the urge to throw a wet blanket – or at least a damp one – on the current Democratic euphoria. Of course I…
My previous post apparently convinced Biden to drop out of the Presidential race. You’re welcome. So now what? It appears that VP Harris will be the new Democratic nominee. She was immediately endorsed by Biden and numerous other party leaders. No one has yet volunteered to challenge her and even those of us who would…
Democrats need a new Presidential ticket. Initially, I was adamantly opposed to a change and I even chided many of my friends for over-reacting to the debate fiasco and for feeding a Republican narrative. However, as I’ve considered reality – and the data supporting that reality – I have re-examined my initial knee-jerk opposition. Yes,…
As I was reading multiple news summaries and opinion pieces related to the Supreme Court’s oral arguments on 4/25/2024 for “Trump v. United States”, I was mentally composing an expletive-filled rant to publish herein. I was more than appalled by the Court’s insane take on Presidential immunity. With considerable effort, I managed to table my…
To complete my snapshot look at the 2024 elections, here’s my current and still-too-early take on the Presidential election. [No, you don’t need to point out that this isn’t really my third take on the topic. But go ahead and send the email if it makes you feel better.] My Electoral College projections don’t look…
Things have changed a bit since I last weighed in on the Senate races in 2024. Things will change again. However, here’s my current snapshot: The above table is sorted by the likelihood that the seat will be held by a Democrat in 2024. I was frankly surprised that my current model turned out to as…
While predictive analysis is fun, prescriptive analysis is more useful. To that end, I again focused on identifying which races might be the most important to a Democratic effort to retake the House. As before, I first identified the House races that were even worthy of further analysis. That pass eliminated those seats that are…
Democrats have been absolutely soiling themselves over a New York Times / Siena College poll released this past weekend. Granted that a front-page headline reading “Trump Leads Biden in 5 Key Battleground States” – in a newspaper that Democrats intrinsically trust – certainly provides a sufficient stimulus for an abrupt outbreak of explosive diarrhea. So…
Now that the writers strike is over, I can finally start posting again! No, I’m not a WGA member. But, hey, I’m not above abusing their strike as a flimsy excuse for my own absence from this blog. In all seriousness, I’m relieved that all parties agreed upon an equitable deal, and I hope that…
Since I already took an early – and rather depressing – look at the 2024 Senate races, I thought I’d next take a swing at the House. The analysis is much tougher on this side of the Hill, but the potential outcome seems a tad brighter for Democrats. There are 435 voting representatives in the…