In preparation for a recent meeting with my financial advisor, I had to do a little research.  While most of that research was irrelevant to a political blog, one big economic topic we discussed was more than relevant: the looming U.S. debt limit.  In this case, the politics is personal.  What Congress does with the debt limit will directly impact our national economy… and our national economy will largely dictate whether or not my retirement years will be spent selling pencils under a bridge.

First, a disclaimer:  While I’d like to think that my Public Finance professor from college would be impressed with this post, I fully suspect that she’d already be in cardiac arrest.  I’m quite certain that she only passed me to avoid my constant questions the following semester.  So PLEASE don’t take anything herein as investment advice.  You’ve been warned.

I’ve touched on this topic numerous times, from back in 2019 to as recently as this past November.  While nothing has really changed, I need to rant once again since this is once again a problem.

To be perfectly clear:  The national debt limit is a totally made-up number.  It’s a completely arbitrary dollar limit beyond which the U.S. government says that the U.S. government can’t borrow any more money.  It’s a totally meaningless concept – equivalent to my saying that I have a two-drink limit and I can’t have a third drink… until I order a third drink.

The United States is about $31T in debt and anything measured in “trillions” undoubtedly deserves some attention.  The problem, however, isn’t some random debt limit.  The problem is that Congress keeps passing budgets and tax laws where expenditures regularly exceed revenues.  As a result, our national debt keeps growing.  This really shouldn’t come as a big surprise to anyone.  Even someone in Congress.

The previous Congress did manage to pass a bipartisan budget.  It again exceeded projected revenues (imagine that) but failed to include an associated debt limit increase.  We’re thus stuck with hoping that our current Congress will separately pass one.  And I’m skeptical that it can.

In order to win the Speakership, McCarthy agreed that the House would not even consider a debt limit increase without spending cuts.  On Fox, McCarthy argued that “If you had a child and you gave him a credit card, and they kept hitting the limit, do you just increase the limit or change their behavior?”

Wow.  It’d be tough to construct a more asinine analogy.

I’ll first note that the “child” in question is Congress itself – which includes McCarthy.  He and his party are equally responsible for our existing national debt over multiple legislatures and multiple administrations.  Also, the charges he questions are already on our “credit card”.  Refusing to increase the credit limit to match those charges has no impact at all on the debt.  It’s still there.

If McCarthy was arguing that we should tie future debt limit increases to future budgets, well, that’s a discussion that we should have during the next budget cycle.  It’s remarkably easy for Republicans to vote against a separate, conceptual debt limit increase – particularly when they don’t understand and/or care about the economic ramifications.  It’s quite hard to vote for an unpopular tax increase or to vote against a popular budget item.  Budget fat in one Congressional district is another district’s bread and butter.

For example, the Navy’s 2023 budget request was for 9 new ships and they also asked to decommission 24 old ships to avoid excessive maintenance costs.  Congress, however, decided that the Navy needed 12 new ships and only approved 12 ships to be decommissioned.  Why would Congress allocate more money to the Navy than they requested?  Look no further than the Congressional districts where the ships are based.  Like it or not, that’s the way that budgets are negotiated.

Congress eventually needs to grow a pair and have serious debates over specific budget line items rather than debate an arbitrary debt limit that is unburdened by actual spending and taxing details.

Note to Kevin:  Tell your inner child next year that he can’t plan to spend more than you make.  Let’s see how that goes.

McCarthy, however, wasn’t arguing on Fox about next year’s budget.  He was arguing for simply not paying our existing credit card bill.  That’s called a default.

When the U.S. Treasury runs out of money collected from taxes, it borrows money to continue paying its obligations.  Unfortunately, the United States will technically reach its statutory debt limit on Thursday, January 19.   Treasury can take “extraordinary measures” to keep the U.S. afloat for a few months but those band-aids will fall off by mid-year.  At that point, the United States of America will no longer be able to pay its bills.

Once again, we’re not talking about money that we’re thinking about spending.  We’re talking about money that we’ve already spent.  We have bills.  They’re due.  If we don’t pay them on time, the United States will be in default.  Our country will be no better than a deadbeat dad who refuses to pay child support.

The last time we even came close to a default due to an impending debt limit was in 2011.  Just the possibility of that future default caused the S&P to decrease the U.S. credit rating which in turn caused all three major U.S. stock indices to immediately drop about 6%.  It took months for our economy to recover from even the threat of a default.  The ramifications of an actual default would have been almost incomprehensively bad and any recovery would have been measured in years.

Thus far, the markets haven’t seriously reacted to our current game of debt limit chicken.  I hope I’m wrong, but I think it’s just a matter time before the markets negatively react to the possibility of a default sometime this year.  At that point, our government would have to act quickly.  And “quickly” isn’t a term that usually applies to government.

So are there any ways out of this quagmire?  There are a few possibilities, but each has its own degrees of difficultly and probability.  None are easy with a high chance of success.  To wit:

Assume Sanity

For the sake of completeness, I have to include a scenario where everybody decides to be an adult, the debt limit is increased before the market panics, the sky is filled with rainbows, and Pinocchio becomes a real boy.

Use a Discharge Petition

While this option seems to be getting some press, it just ain’t gonna happen.

A discharge petition is a seldom used means by which a bill can get to the floor of the House without the consent of leadership.  It’s a complicated process and the hurdles are immense.  First, a majority of the House would have to support a bill increasing the debt limit – implying that several Republicans were willing to commit political suicide by joining Democrats in opposing their leadership. Then the bill is required to go through months of waiting in two different committees.  Then the bill can only be brought to the House floor on specific days – which may or may not be days when the House is actually in session.  In short, even if there was the political will to use this option, it can’t be completed quickly enough.

Prioritize Payments

This stupid option is also getting some press on the right.  It presumes that Treasury can simply prioritize some types of payments over others.

In addition to being a logistical nightmare, this option has major flaws.  First, it assumes that there is money to make even the prioritized payments.  If we’ve reached the debt limit, there’s no money for anything.  Second, and most important, the act of paying “some” of our bills simply doesn’t cut it.  We’d still be in default on the bills that we didn’t pay and the economic consequences would be mostly the same.

Mint a Coin

This is a weird option but I can find no logical or legal flaw with its use.

An obscure 1997 law gave the Treasury Secretary the power to issue platinum coins of any value.  It was only intended to make it easier to produce coins for the collector market, but no usage or amount limitations were stated in the law  The Treasury could thus simply mint a $1 trillion coin which the Fed would then be legally required to accept as a deposit.  That money could then be used to fund the government.

Such a usage of the law would certainly be challenged in the Supreme Court and, given the current makeup of the Court, it’s unclear what they would do.  However, it would be difficult for the textualists on the Court to argue with the crystal clear language of the law as written.

It’s also unclear how the markets would react to this approach, but it would certainly be better than a default.

Just Say No

The administration could simply ignore the debt limit.  The 14^th Amendment states that:

The validity of the public debt of the United States, authorized by law, including debts incurred for payment of pensions and bounties for services in suppressing insurrection or rebellion, shall not be questioned.

Since the validity of our debt is a constitutional requirement and since any limit imposed on that debt could threaten the debt’s validity by creating even the possibility of default, any debt limit is thus unconstitutional and the administration cannot be forced to abide by it.  Heh.

This approach would, of course, go to the Supreme Court and this iteration of the Court would definitely claim for themselves the power to decide the constitutionality of the debt limit.  It’s unclear, however, how they would rule and I’d be loathe to put the full faith and credit of the American economy solidly in the hands of five people who are accountable to no one.

Even a recent opinion piece in the conservative Wall Street Journal noted that a debt limit increase is a terrible issue upon which a paper-thin Republican House majority should attempt to extort a Democratic Senate and White House.  To quote the op-ed:  “The first rule of political negotiation is never take a hostage you’re not prepared to shoot.”

My fear is that the House itself will be held hostage by the Crazy-Right-Wing of the Republican party.  This set of idiots doesn’t give a crap about the impact of breaching the debt limit.  They are nihilists and are, indeed, fully prepared to shoot the American economy.  I sincerely hope that sanity will eventually prevail or that the administration will eventually take unilateral action to avoid a default.  However, my current prediction is that we’ll at least go to the brink before that happens.

So, back to my discussions with my investment advisor with respect to my portfolio allocation.  While this stalemate progresses, I personally think that cash is looking pretty darn good.

I’ve never had so many readers ask me to weigh in on any one issue.  Interesting.

I’ve been reluctant to post about the on-going House drama since (a) I’m not sure how useful it is for yet another voice to narrate this circus and (b) I’m still unsure how and when the clowns go home.  It might all be over by the time you read this; it might not.  However, since the House now stands in recess until 10pm Eastern Time, I’ll quickly offer my two cents.

Here’s where things stand.  On the anniversary of the failed insurrection occurring in the very same chamber, the House failed this afternoon on their 13^th attempt to elect a Speaker.  That’s the most failed attempts since the Civil War.

Democrats have been united in all rounds casting all of their 212 votes for Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries.  GOP Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy’s support has ranged from a low of 200 votes to a total of 214 in the latest round.  222 Republicans were recently elected to the House and, if everyone actually votes, someone would need 218 votes to become Speaker.  That target, however, is fluid since the winner needs only a majority of the votes actually cast for any named person.  Many in Congress appear to be bad at math, since reporters were being given different numbers in hallway interviews.  For the record, in this latest round, McCarthy would have needed 4 of the 6 other votes that were cast.

I suspect that, one way or another, McCarthy will eventually be elected Speaker.  Some of the remaining holdouts could flip, some of them might be convinced to vote Present (thus reducing the total votes needed to win), the GOP could change the rules to allow a plurality to win (since McCarthy now at least has more votes than Jeffries), or whatever.

In the meantime, though, we have no House of Representatives.  That’s a bad look, but it’s by no means catastrophic.  The reality is that legislation needs to pass both chambers of Congress and the Senate isn’t going to be functional until January 23.  And, while there’s no House oversight currently being done, I suspect the world won’t end if the Hunter Biden Laptop Crusade gets delayed for a bit.

The real issue is what all of this means for the country going forward.

In addition to being a living antonym for charisma, McCarthy has demonstrated once again that he has no leadership skills, no negotiating skills, and no oratorical skills.  He so wants the title of Speaker of the House that he is apathetic to fact that he is rendering the office meaningless.

The current GOP holdouts and, indeed, all of the GOP members who didn’t vote for McCarthy on the first round, are all part of the crazy-right wing of the Republican Party.  To win their votes, McCarthy has apparently been conceding to castrating demands that are likely to make the House just about as functional as the Keystone Kops.  The details are being quite tightly held – likely in an attempt minimize the irritation of other GOP members.  Those who have stood by McCarthy since the beginning are undoubtedly being thrown under the bus in order to appease the holdouts.

Several agreements have, of course, leaked out.  A few actually seem reasonable (e.g. a rule that members be given 72-hours to review bills before voting and a requirement for a floor vote on term limits), a few are on GOP-specific policies (e.g. border security and oversight committees), and a few are on procedural issues and promised committee assignments (which will be internally troublesome for McCarthy).

Two agreements, however, stand out to me as very problematic:

1. Motion to Vacate:  McCarthy has apparently agreed to let any single member of the House majority call for a new Speaker vote.  We could thus be back where we started the first time McCarthy doesn’t genuflect to a member of Freedom Caucus.  This is the rule that doomed John Boehner’s tenure as Speaker – and Boehner had a larger majority and was a MUCH better politician than McCarthy.
2. Debt Ceiling Restrictions:  McCarthy has also apparently agreed to block any clean bill to raise the debt ceiling.

That second one is the most worrisome of all.  As I’ve noted before, the debt ceiling shouldn’t be a political football for either party.  In fact, we shouldn’t even have a debt ceiling.  While we should have loud debates about spending bills and deficit spending, we shouldn’t have any debates AT ALL about whether we pay for the things we’ve already bought.  The concept itself is sheer insanity.

Nevertheless, the crazy-right wing of the Republican party wants to tack all sorts of unrelated crap onto any legislation that lets us pay our bills.  If Democrats agree to be held hostage to a debt ceiling increase, the GOP demands will never end.  (And, of course, the same would be equally true if party positions were reversed.)

I fully believe that the crazy-right wing would let the U.S. default on its debt rather than pass a clean debt ceiling increase.  Despite the stated opinions of some on the right, a default is not some obscure economic concept.  It is the abandonment of the full faith and credit of the United States.  While the fallout of such a default at least deserves a post of its own, the short version includes a recession, a tanked stock market, a tanked bond market, increased interest rates, the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, the devaluation of the dollar, international trade disruption, and the probable displacement of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.  It would take decades for our economy to recover.

But, yeah, all we can do for now is continue to watch Cirque du So-Lame and hope that not all of the D.C. clowns are Pennywise.

[ And my apologies for the mixed cultural metaphors. ]

We spent 2022 consumed with multiple criminal investigations involving a former U.S. President, an insurrection at the U.S. Capital, consequential mid-term elections, the demise of Roe v. Wade, a surge of inflation, a resurgence of COVID, the war in Ukraine, another major school shooting, etc.  We’re starting 2023 with complete dysfunction in the U.S. House unlike anything seen in the past 100 years.

It thus comes as no surprise that we seem to have overlooked another far-reaching, if quite subtle, story centered around the Supreme Court of the United States.

I’ve previously weighed in on several specific SCOTUS rulings and on their broader legal implications.  I devoted a separate post to the devastating Dobbs v. Jackson opinion, accompanied by a related attempt at dark humor on a topic that is decidedly non-humorous.

Subsequently, however, a brand new perspective on SCOTUS was framed for me by an essay written for the Harvard Law Review by Mark A. Lemley, a Stanford law professor.  It’s a great read but it does need to be accompanied by a high-proof bourbon – both because it reads like an essay in the Harvard Law Review and because it makes some extremely worrisome observations about our current SCOTUS iteration.

The essay (and the bourbon) prompted me to gather several of my own remaining SCOTUS-related notes.  While each was a potential blog topic at some point, I’m combining everything herein to highlight one overarching fear:  That we have a Supreme Court trending further and further out of control.

Power Accumulation

Since I’m stealing Lemley’s title for this post, I’ll first try to briefly summarize his premise before I expand on it.

Lemley argues that this instantiation of the Court has proven to be alarmingly unique.  Since the 1803 Marbury v. Madison case, establishing the legitimacy of judicial review, there has been a natural tendency over time for various iterations of the Court to politically lean left or right, favor federal power or state power, tip the scales toward congressional authority or executive authority, and/or chose to champion individual rights or governmental control.  While we each have our own personal preferences, such swings of the SCOTUS pendulum are to be expected.

However, in stark contrast to the above, Lemley posits that our current Supreme Court is pursuing an orthogonal goal.  He suggests that they are systematically consolidating their own power at the expense of all other branches of government, at both the federal and state levels, often using contradictory legal arguments.  Unfortunately, Lemley makes quite a compelling case by examining the judicial reasoning behind numerous recent SCOTUS opinions.  I again suggest reading the essay itself where Lemley dissects a ton of cases (including a few that I’ve discussed in previous posts).  Just for example, however, here’s a sampling of his cited cases:

• West Virginia v. EPA:  transferring interpretive powers from executive branch agencies to the Court.
• TransUnion LLC v. Ramirez:  transferring the ability to recognize new causes of action from Congress to the Court.
• Tandon v. Newsom:  transferring power from States to the Court with respect to public health issues.
• Kennedy v. Bremerton School District:  granting the Court the ability to relitigate facts decided by lower courts.

Reactions to several individual SCOTUS decisions have largely obscured a bigger picture.  Those on the right who may be having orgasmic responses to the immediate implications of some rulings have yet to realize that the Court is basing its decisions on judicial concepts that merrily usurp power from everywhere, regardless of current party control.  Republicans may be surprised to find that SCOTUS-imposed limits on Congressional and executive authority will apply equally when next they control those branches of government.

Meanwhile, the Court is busily ensuring that the opinions of any five SCOTUS justices can not only override anything done by any other government entity of any political persuasion, but can also independently decide which issues they want to control.

This rapid disintegration of Constitutional checks-and-balances should scare the crap out of everyone, regardless of their politics.

Major Questions Doctrine

One of the primary tools of this Supreme Court is their newly invented “major questions doctrine” (which I discussed in a previous post in relation to West Virginia v. EPA).

While this “doctrine” was never cited in any majority opinion prior to 2022, it has been used extensively of late to support the recent SCOTUS power grab.  The doctrine holds that the Court can override the executive branch’s interpretation of any legislation on issues of “vast economic or political significance” even when a statute explicitly grants such interpretive authority to an executive agency.  Conveniently, the Court also claims that it alone can decide which issues meet that “significance” criteria.

Just last month, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 5^th Circuit ruled in Louisiana v. Biden that the President lacked the authority to issue an executive order imposing a vaccine requirement on companies with whom the U.S. government does business.  Beyond the merits of the decision, of greater concern is the Court’s use of the major questions doctrine to deny the executive branch the ability to perform an obviously executive function as clearly granted by the legislative branch.  This was not a Constitutional issue.  The Court simply decided to substitute their own administrative preferences over the preferences of elected officials.

This blatant power grab should scare the crap out of everyone, regardless of their politics.

Shadow Docket

The Supreme Court is not limiting its ambitions to stealing power from other branches of the federal government or from state governments.  SCOTUS is also actively stealing power from lower courts in its own branch of the government.

While I hesitate to digress into a law school presentation (particularly since some of my readers are attorneys), I need to briefly define some context from a layman’s perspective.

Supreme Court cases arrive on two paths:  a “merits” docket and a “shadow” docket.

The merits docket includes the vast majority of named cases of which the public is aware and consists of around 60 to 70 cases each term.  These cases have usually gone through one or more lower courts where facts are established and opinions are rendered.  SCOTUS receives full briefings on these cases, hears oral arguments in public at pre-announced times, and produces a written majority opinion explaining legal rationales – often accompanied by separate concurrences and dissents.  Cases are finally resolved by the release of the opinions with the recorded vote of each Justice in a carefully orchestrated process on pre-announced “Decision Days” beginning at 10am Eastern time.

The shadow docket is, well, not that.  This docket has historically been where the Court rules on procedural matters – most of which are uninteresting except to the litigants.  These cases generally do not involve briefings or hearings and are often resolved with no written explanations or recorded votes.  They are often released in the middle of night – in the shadows, if you will – but are nevertheless important from a process perspective.

Over time, unfortunately, the use of the shadow docket has expanded to become a secretive process where major SCOTUS decisions are often rendered.  Indeed, SCOTUS can use its shadow docket to unilaterally bypass standard case progressions by reaching directly into the lower courts to claim and rule on cases with little to no written explanations.  Recently, contentious shadow docket cases have doubled – coinciding with the arrival of Justices Gorsuch, Kavanaugh, and Coney Barrett.

As just one example of many, in Louisiana v. American Rivers, SCOTUS used its shadow docket to simply reverse a lower court ruling that blocked infrastructure projects on environmental grounds.  Again, while the merits of the case were important, the major concern is that SCOTUS circumvented numerous standard judicial processes and rendered its imperial decision with no explanations whatsoever.  Even the conservative Chief Justice Roberts dissented on this case due to its procedural shortcomings.

This utter disregard for longstanding judicial practices should scare the crap out of everyone, regardless of their politics.

Stare Decisis

As was made readily apparent in Dobbs v. Jackson, this SCOTUS iteration has no problem directly overturning long-standing SCOTUS rulings made by previous iterations of the Court – even rulings that were reaffirmed by subsequent SCOTUS iterations.  While Dobbs was certainly the most publicized example, there are others.  In Vega v. Tekoh, the Court essentially overturned Dickerson v. United States – which upheld the Miranda warning requirement.

The principle of stare decisis – holding that previous judicial rulings are binding except in extremely rare cases – is a foundational guardrail of American jurisprudence.

This particular Court’s egotistical claim to unchecked power even over previous Courts should scare the crap out of everyone, regardless of their politics.

Court Leaks & Security

Much has been made about the as-yet unattributed leak of Justice Alito’s draft opinion overturning Roe v. Wade.  Alito complained that the leak put his and his colleague’s lives at risk and Chief Justice Roberts devoted most of his 2022 annual report to the need for additional judicial security.

Largely as an aside, subsequent reporting revealed that Alito himself most likely leaked the outcome of a 2014 SCOTUS opinion involving contraceptives to an anti-abortion leader (which apparently did not put his life at risk).

While violence against judges and justices is obviously unacceptable, I personally fail to see how members of the Court are entitled to internal privacy and special security considerations that aren’t equally afforded to others in government.

Secrecy has certainly been the accepted norm with respect to draft opinions of the Supreme Court.  Whether or not that is a good thing, however, is easily debatable.  Drafts of legislation are often published on official Congressional websites; drafts of executive agency documents can often be easily obtained.  And yet there are no cries for additional security given to agency heads and/or members of Congress.

Why exactly should Supreme Court justices be immune from public commentary on their draft opinions?  Why should peaceful protests against such drafts be any less acceptable than public protests against proposed laws and regulations?

The Court’s efforts to position itself as above public discourse and oversight should scare the crap out of everyone, regardless of their politics.

Code of Conduct

While most federal judges are bound by a Code of Conduct, justices of the Supreme Court are essentially immune from compliance.  SCOTUS justices are each independently responsible for policing their own conduct and are answerable only to Congress via impeachment proceedings and their subsequent (and highly unlikely) removal from the Court.

Ginni Thomas, the wife of Justice Thomas, was heavily involved in numerous efforts to reverse the 2020 election results.  Her involvement came to light only after a SCOTUS ruling allowed Mark Meadows’ text messages to be made available to the January 6 committee.  While Ms. Thomas eventually admitted to the committee that she discussed her efforts with her husband, she simply claimed that he wouldn’t be influenced by her.  That, of course, is wholly beside the point.

Even an appearance of partiality or impropriety should have been more than sufficient grounds for Justice Thomas to recuse himself from consideration of the case.  However, he chose not to self-recuse and was, indeed, the sole SCOTUS vote against the release of the text messages, including those sent by his wife.

The lack of any enforceable code of ethics governing the Supreme Court should scare the crap out of everyone, regardless of their politics.

Solutions?

So, assuming we’re all sufficiently scared, what can we do to alleviate our fears?

Sadly, not a whole lot.

As I noted in a previous post:

Article III, Section 2 of the Constitution gives the Executive and Legislative branches, acting in concert, the power to strip the Supreme Court of appellate jurisdictions.  They can thus declare that specific laws and/or entire issues are beyond the scope of judicial review.

It would thus be possible for the other two branches of government to reign in an out-of-control Court by restricting its authority in arenas where it oversteps.  This would function mostly as an invisible fence within which the Court might eventually be trained to stay.

A less direct, long-game approach would be legislatively impose term limits on Supreme Court justices.  Despite some opinions otherwise, there is nothing in the Constitution that demands lifetime appointments – and such appointments are an institutional mistake.  As a side benefit, term limits would also at least help to impose an age limit.  Many have argued for 18-year terms; some have argued for shorter durations.  While I’d personally favor a term of 10-12 years, the existence of any limit is more important than the duration.

Justice Thomas, for example, is 74 years old and has been on the Court for 31 years.  Over that extended period, and at that age, it is entirely understandable that he has developed a sense of omniscient entitlement accompanied by a callous detachment from current societal norms. Do we really want to continue to entrust our Republic to an aging, long-time neighbor who is constantly complaining about the kids on his lawn?  Do we need to wait until medical science can no longer keep him on the Court?  And, no, I’m not being ageist.  I’d be fine with senior SCOTUS justices being given emeritus titles and responsibilities, if they so desire.  However, when there are only nine seats on the Supreme Court of the United States, a few conditions seem highly appropriate.

Unfortunately, neither jurisdictional boundaries nor term limits are likely to be implemented as both are well beyond the abilities of our polarized and dysfunctional Congress.

For the foreseeable future, it appears that we’ll simply need to accept an Imperial Supreme Court as its majority continues to consolidate power.  We can only hope that they are occasionally kind to their lowly serfs.

Oh, great.  What 2022 needs is yet another opinion piece noting that our current political environment is polarized.  “Hey!  Have you noticed that water is wet?”

My end-of-year variation on this well-worn theme will be to first make a few observations and to then pose a serious question to my readers who reside somewhere to my political right.

As I’ve noted before, the current Electoral College structure and partisan redistricting have contributed to the impending disappearance of moderate politicians.  While I am saddened by a trend that I personally find to be undemocratic and contrary to the ideals of the American experiment, I unfortunately accept the fact that the trend is largely constitutional.  Since we have allowed our elections to legally become ultra-partisan exercises, we cannot be too surprised that such elections are often won by ultra-partisans.

There are obviously ultra-partisans in both major parties.  While glimpses of the occasional moderate can found in government, such sightings are increasingly rare.  The recent omnibus spending bill was a surprising example of bipartisan compromise – with neither party getting everything they wanted, both parties getting something they wanted, and the American public getting a functioning government.  Still, ultra-partisans are the new normal and old-fashioned statesmanship can now be found mostly on AMC and on re-runs of The West Wing.

However, there is a dangerous new breed of politician that happily draws well outside of the already distant lines of ultra-partisanship.  While crackpots and conspiracy theorists have always existed, they were historically consigned to the fringes of American society where they mostly served as easy fodder for late-night comedians.  It is only in our new normal that these zealots have directly involved themselves in organized politics, lustily grabbing at the reigns of an already unruly democracy.

And it is here that the “both sides are guilty” argument completely falls apart.

After the 2020 elections, 139 House Republicans and 8 Senate Republicans voted to overturn the election results.  It may be old news, but just let that sink in.  After numerous recounts and after losing ALL of at least 63 lawsuits related to the election, 147 elected members of the United States Congress voted to simply ignore the results of a democratic election that didn’t go their way.  And this wasn’t just a one-cycle issue.  In 2022, while most Republican election-deniers in swing states thankfully lost their elections, a Washington Post analysis of red states estimated that 177 election-deniers won their mid-term elections.

Unfortunately, anti-democratic actions are by no means this group’s only focus.  They have also voiced baskets of baseless, bonkers beliefs and/or have strongly defended others who did:

They have embraced militant, white nationalist, neo-Nazi beliefs.  They have variously claimed that all LGBTQ individuals are predators, that Jewish space lasers are a thing, that mass shootings in Las Vegas and Parkland were staged by the left as a pretext for seizing their guns, that COVID vaccines come with tracking chips, that completely fabricated resumes are just politics as usual, and that there is a “Great Replacement” campaign on the left to eliminate whites in favor of Jews, immigrants, and people of color.  I could go on.

For reference, here’s just a sampling of the Republicans serving in the crazy-right Congressional caucus:  Marjorie Taylor Greene, Lauren Boebert, Louie Gohmert, Elise Stefanik, Matt Gaetz, Jim Jordan, George Santos, Ted Cruz, Ron Johnson, and Josh Hawley.

So here is my serious question to my Republican readers:

Give me similar examples of crazy-left extremists currently serving in Congress who come even close to the above crazies on the right.

Please note:

• I will not accept Democrats whom you simply consider be be too partisan.
  • For every Nancy Pelosi you give me, I’ll give you a Mitch McConnell.  Both are ultra-partisans and both have acted like ultra-partisans.  However, agree with them or not, neither is a threat to American democracy.
• I will not accept Democrats with whom you strongly disagree from a purely policy perspective.
  • I’m not listing otherwise sane Republicans who are climate deniers, gun champions, and/or anti-abortion absolutists.  Don’t give me Democrats who espouse opposite policy positions.
• I will not accept Democrats whom you consider to be socialists.
  • Don’t even try to equate the fascism on the crazy-right with socialism on the ultra-left.  I’m not personally a fan of either, but there are plenty of perfectly fine socialist democracies.  There are no good examples of fascist democracies.

Enough with the false equivalency.

Give me names of people serving on the left that have challenged the basic tenets of democracy, who champion the violent overthrow of our government, who promote fact-free conspiracy theories, and who espouse racist, sexist, cultish, anti-science, anti-gay beliefs.

Good luck with that.

And Happy New Year!!

My previous post on the lame-duck Congress omitted a couple of very important priorities.  Both can be accomplished without the Senate and without the dedication of high-value time on the House floor.  House Democrats and their staffs will need to work overtime, but both of these issues can be handled entirely in House committees.

Finishing the January 6 Committee Work

The Select Committee needs to finish and publish their final report and make any appropriate criminal referrals to the Department of Justice.  The committee should then forward every single piece of background information they have to the DoJ, regardless of whether or not it’s related to the criminal referrals.  Some of the information they’ve gathered might be of assistance within other on-going DoJ investigations.  If not, the information dump will at least piss off House Republicans… and that alone makes it worthwhile.  If the Senate Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee also wants the raw materials, they should get the information dump as well.

It’s not worth this committee’s time trying to hold the Orange Guy in contempt of Congress for failing to honor their subpoena.  He is in contempt, but that’s not the point.  There are much bigger crimes that will be much easier to prosecute and the effort here would just waste valuable floor time in the House.

Handling the Orange Guy’s Tax Returns

It took a VERY LONG TIME but a recent Supreme Court decision finally marked the end of numerous appeals.  The House just today received six years of the former president’s tax returns from the IRS.

The problem, of course, is that there’s just not a lot of time left to study them.

The rationale for the original ask was to allow the House Ways and Means committee to evaluate the effectiveness of current laws related to a President’s taxes.  If a billionaire president pays no taxes, there are only two possibilities:

1. If everything turns out to be perfectly legal, we need to:
   • examine the laws, and
   • change the laws.
2. If there’s evidence of anything illegal, we need to:
   • hold him accountable,
   • find out if he used his office to break the law, and
   • figure out why no watchdog caught it.

To that last point, current law requires that all presidential and vice presidential tax returns be audited.  Were such audits conducted?  What did they reveal?  The NY Attorney General found evidence of obvious fraud, so why didn’t a federal audit reach a similar conclusion?  Were the auditors influenced by the White House to look the other way?

Finding answers to these questions requires time.  Democrats simply don’t have anywhere near the runway to thoroughly examine what are likely to be very complicated tax returns, conduct an in-depth investigation with appropriate hearings, and make any necessary criminal referrals to the DoJ.  Republicans will most certainly bury the returns on January 3 if it’s left entirely to them.

So what should House Democrats do?

Legally, they “could” simply make the returns public to let everyone and their CPA have a crack a them.  However, I personally believe that would be a huge PR mistake.  Making the returns public would be seen as remarkably vindictive because, well, it would be.  While such vindictiveness would be entirely justified, Democrats should take a higher road:

1. The House Ways and Means committee should make a best-effort to dig through the tax returns in the limited time they have left and should publish a preliminary report outlining any issues they find.  That puts the follow-up in Republican hands who will trip all over themselves excusing any obvious fraud conducted by the former president.
2. Democrats should forward the returns to the Senate Finance Committee and let them conduct their own review in the next Congress.  If the Senate subsequently decides to make the returns public, that’s their call.