(Political Ramblings from a Little Left of Center)
As promised, I took a deeper look at the two Georgia Senate runoff elections. Assuming that Biden foils the Kansas City Shuffle, Democrats need to win both Georgia races for a 50/50 split in the U.S. Senate – and thus claim the narrowest possible Senate control with VP Harris as the tie-breaker. Conversely, Republicans need…
Our national response to the pandemic is essentially on-hold. If possible, Trump’s interest in the pandemic is even less than it was before the election. Biden’s hands are tied until January 20. The pandemic itself, however, is not on-hold. In the United State alone, there have been over 11 million COVID-19 cases and over a…
Democrats are falling for the Kansas City Shuffle. No, neither Missouri nor Kansas are somehow in play in the 2020 Presidential Election. The Kansas City Shuffle is a con game that requires its marks to be aware that they are being conned but being wrong about how they are being conned. The fake con is…
I composed a post in the wee hours of 11/4. It was an incoherent mess of incredulous, pissed off, and suicidal. It was not my best work. I’m thankful that some internal voice quietly suggested that I delay publication. That draft has since been deleted. I made the decision to not try again until there…
Two days remain until Election Day in the United States. I’ve done the math, but I’m still crossing my fingers and wishing on every star I can find. In addition to the Presidential election, there are 35 U.S. Senate races, 435 U.S. House races, 11 Governor’s races, 5,876 races in 86 state legislative chambers in…
I was revising the analytics behind my prior post when two things quickly stopped me. First, it was quite apparent that not much has changed based on my model. Second, I was boring the crap out of myself. While I consider myself a political junkie, even I am SO READY for this election to be…
It’s the final stretch. The bottom of the ninth. The last lap. The closing chapter. The happy ending. Or insert your own culmination idiom here. Anyway, since we’re only two weeks away from Election Day, I revisited my election models for the Electoral College, the Senate, and the House. Fair warning: My analysis yields slightly…
You know the wheels are off and quickly rolling away from your political cart when you entrust your campaign’s “October Surprise” to Rudy Giuliani. Let’s recap. In July of 2019, Trump called the Ukrainian President to pressure him for “a favor” by launching an investigation into Joe Biden – Trump’s then-presumptive 2020 rival. Of course,…
In the United States to date, there have been 7.7 million COVID-19 cases and over 215,000 resultant deaths. While there are countless ways to look at the underlying data, one doesn’t need a background in data analytics to grasp the harsh reality that these numbers suck. We can use appropriate analytics to visualize how badly…
As promised in my previous post, I took a second (admittedly quick) look at the Texas State House races. This chamber remains the best and only hope for Democrats to have any voice at all in Texas’ upcoming redistricting efforts. The good news is that things have improved since my April analysis and I now…